Plus: XXXTentacion’s new posthumous album tracking for top 10 debut.
On next week’s Billboard 200 albums chart, it appears the entire top three will host debuts, according to industry forecasters. Those in the know suggest rapper Roddy Ricch could launch at No. 1 on the chart dated Dec. 21 with his debut studio album Please Excuse Me for Being Antisocial. The set may earn around 90,000 equivalent album units in the week ending Dec. 12, with the bulk of that sum generated by streaming activity.
Veteran rock band The Who may start at No. 2 with their new album, which is simply titled Who. The effort could bow with perhaps 80,000 to 85,000 units earned — with the majority of that driven by album sales generated by a concert ticket/album sale redemption offer with the band’s recent tour.
And pop star Camila Cabello is looking for a No. 3 entry with her second album, Romance. It could start with around 70,000 to 75,000 units.
All that said, those forecasts — and the projected ranking — could change in the next few days, as there are still two days left in the tracking week. Any of the three albums could conceivably end up on top when the chart is finalized.
Also tracking for a top 10 debut is XXXTentacion’s posthumous album Bad Vibes Forever. It could bow with perhaps 60,000 to 70,000 equivalent album units.
The Billboard 200 chart ranks the most popular albums of the week based on multi-metric consumption, which includes traditional album sales, track equivalent albums (TEA) and streaming equivalent albums (SEA). The top 10 of the Dec. 21-dated Billboard 200 chart is scheduled to be revealed on Billboard’s websites on Sunday, Dec. 15.
In non-debut news, albums from the late Juice WRLD are primed to climb up the new chart, following his death on Dec. 8. His first album, Goodbye & Good Riddance, may vault into the top 10 with around 65,000 units. Meanwhile, his most recent release, the chart-topping Death Race for Love, could vault back into the top 15 with 50,000 units. On the most recently published Billboard 200, dated Dec. 14, Goodbye ranked at No. 71 with 12,000 units earned in the week ending Dec. 5, according to Nielsen Music; while Death Race was No. 88 with 10,000 units.